St. Petersburg, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

879
FXUS62 KTBW 141043
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
643 AM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 641 AM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026

- Near to slightly above normal temperatures will continue through
  the next week.

- Onshore flow will continue through the first half of the week,
  keeping the highest storm chances over inland areas each day,
  mainly in the afternoon and early evening hours.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 641 AM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
Mainly VFR conditions are expected. Best shower/storm chances will
be for KLAL, but could see a few near southwest Florida sites as
well, though chances look lower. Overall rain chances look even
lower for tomorrow.

&&


.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 316 AM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026

Through the first half of the week, the surface ridge axis is
forecast to hold south of the area across southern Florida and the
Straits of Florida, keeping a mainly westerly flow pattern in place.
This pattern will continue to bring in deep moisture, with
generally isolated to scattered showers and storms developing each
day, with the greatest rain chances pushing east into the
interior. Rain chances will increase slightly over parts of the
Nature Coast Tuesday and Wednesday as a weak front stalls out over
northern Florida, allowing moisture to pool south of the frontal
boundary. Otherwise, temperatures will remain near to slightly
above normal for mid June, with highs in the low to mid 90s.

After the front breaks up, the ridge will start to work back
north into the area allowing the flow pattern to become more
southerly for Thursday and Friday. This pattern will continue to
bring in deep moisture and continue to produce afternoon showers
and storms, but will shift the highest rain chances back west
closer to the coast with the sea breeze collision. By Saturday,
another front will be pushing south towards Florida, shifting the
ridge back into south Florida and returning the area to
southwesterly flow. As a result, the highest rain chances can once
again be expected over the interior as onshore flow quickly
limits convection close to the west coast during the early
afternoon.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 316 AM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026

High pressure will hold south of the waters through Wednesday,
keeping mainly westerly and southwesterly flow in place. As the
ridge starts to lift north Wednesday night and Thursday, winds will
become more southerly. Winds and seas will generally remain less
than headline criteria, although occasional thunderstorms could
bring locally higher winds each day.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 316 AM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026

West and southwest flow will continue today and Monday, keeping deep
moisture over the area with no concerns for low humidity. Isolated
to scattered showers and storms will develop each day, with the
highest rain chances over the interior.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  91  80  91  81 /  20  10  10   0
FMY  91  78  92  79 /  30  10  20   0
GIF  94  76  94  77 /  40  10  20   0
SRQ  91  80  91  80 /  20  10  10   0
BKV  93  78  92  78 /  20  20  20  10
SPG  92  81  91  81 /  20  10  10   0

&&

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Sunday: 4
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Monday: 4

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to:
     https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

Aviation...Carlisle
Previous...Fleming